Darmstadt 98 0-1 Paderborn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
7.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.98
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.15
X/1
12%
5.46
X/2
16%
6.83
X/X
10%
5.62
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.1
2/2
14%
4.22
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.77/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.43
+9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
20.3 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Paderborn
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 1.36
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
234 Passes 408
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 3-1 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
09.04.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-1 HT 1-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
30.09.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 1-2 HT 1-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
15.05.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-0 HT 3-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
11.12.2021 Paderborn Paderborn 0-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
05.03.2021 Paderborn Paderborn 2-3 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
0-1
AWAY Paderborn
0.67 xG 0.76
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
456 Passes 218
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Paderborn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn nicked a narrow win over Darmstadt 98 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Paderborn made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 64% of the ball to Paderborn's 36%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.67 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 1.17 for Paderborn.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Paderborn?

Darmstadt 98 0-1 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Paderborn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 40%, draw 23%, Paderborn 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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