Ulm 1846 5-1 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.88
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.58
X/2
8%
7.15
X/X
19%
4.14
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
12%
5.71
2/X
6%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.5pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 30%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.35/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.49
-40% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
13.0 Crosses 17.7
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.56 xG 0.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 Passes 219
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.08.2024 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL2
21.04.2024 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 1-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
12.11.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
5-1
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
2.87 xG 0.85
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
279 Passes 188
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 cruised past Jahn Regensburg 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ulm 1846 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 58% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 42%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.87 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jahn Regensburg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ulm 1846 and 1.00 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Jahn Regensburg?

Ulm 1846 5-1 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 44%, draw 31%, Jahn Regensburg 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulm 1846) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulm 1846) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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