Budaiya 0-1 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 19 Dec 2025

📅19/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
62%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
29%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
13%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
62%
Away Win
67%
-5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budaiya EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 71%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
0.55/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.63
-37% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +46%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budaiya
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Muharraq
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Budaiya Budaiya 2-4 Muharraq Muharraq BAHKK
09.03.2023 Budaiya Budaiya 1-5 HT 1-4 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
07.12.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 4-0 HT 1-0 Budaiya Budaiya BAH
21.04.2022 Budaiya Budaiya 3-2 HT 2-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
23.12.2021 Budaiya Budaiya 1-1 HT 1-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
30.03.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 3-1 HT 0-1 Budaiya Budaiya BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budaiya
0-1
AWAY Muharraq
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Budaiya vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq edged past Budaiya 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Budaiya had 39% of the ball to Muharraq's 61%, shots finished 3-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Budaiya and 3.17 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Budaiya vs Muharraq?

Budaiya 0-1 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budaiya vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Budaiya 17%, draw 22%, Muharraq 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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