20/01/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
AFC Totton vs Harrow Borough Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
18%
Draw
16%
21%
Away Win
11%
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
50%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AFC Totton v Harrow Borough — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
AFC Totton
EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
Harrow Borough
EU Bookmakers 14%
-28% /
-28%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+5%
2.26/1.59
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.05/2.41
+1%
/
-33%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-2%
/
-10%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
17
Total Shots
10
8
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
439 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
291 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
AFC Totton vs Harrow Borough Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
AFC Totton
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Harrow Borough
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
05.08.2023
Harrow Borough
1-2
HT 1-0
AFC Totton
İNGNLP
1-2
HT 1-0
AFC Totton
İNGNLP
POST-MATCH
AFC Totton vs Harrow Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
AFC Totton squeezed past Harrow Borough 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Harrow Borough?
AFC Totton 1-0 Harrow Borough in the England - Non League Premier on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Harrow Borough?
Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 61%, draw 18%, Harrow Borough 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (AFC Totton)
✗ Over 2.5
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
20 Jan 2024