Bracknell Town 4-3 Gosport Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-5.0pp
17%
Draw
23%
-6.0pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+11.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bracknell Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
2.16/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.69
+13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bracknell Town
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Gosport Borough
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.08.2023 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 2-0 HT 0-0 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town İNGNLP
15.04.2023 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
12.11.2022 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 0-4 HT 0-1 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Bracknell Town vs Gosport Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bracknell Town squeezed past Gosport Borough 4-3. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bracknell Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bracknell Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bracknell Town and 1.00 for Gosport Borough.

What was the final score of Bracknell Town vs Gosport Borough?

Bracknell Town 4-3 Gosport Borough in the England - Non League Premier on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bracknell Town vs Gosport Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bracknell Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bracknell Town 48%, draw 17%, Gosport Borough 35%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bracknell Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bracknell Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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