Barwell 0-0 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.99/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.36
+12% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.08.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
0-0
AWAY AFC Sudbury
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barwell vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell and AFC Sudbury played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Barwell at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Barwell had 50% of the ball to AFC Sudbury's 50%, shots finished 14-3.

What was the final score of Barwell vs AFC Sudbury?

Barwell 0-0 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Barwell 46%, draw 24%, AFC Sudbury 30%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barwell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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