Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-1 Ashdod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 20 Jan 2024

Hapoel Eran Hadera
1-1 HT 1-1
Ashdod
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Israel - Ligat HaAl – 2023/2024

Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Ashdod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
40%
3.11
Away
28%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.46
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
4.45
6+ Goals
6%
24.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 34% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.7pp
39%
Draw
29%
+10.9pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hapoel Eran Hadera v Ashdod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashdod EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.16/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.67
-54% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
19.0 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Ashdod Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ashdod
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.45 xG 0.53
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
241 Passes 436
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Ashdod Ashdod 0-1 HT 0-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera İSR

Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-1 Ashdod — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
1-1
AWAY Ashdod
1.65 xG 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
315 Passes 235
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Ashdod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Eran Hadera and Ashdod couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 39% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Hapoel Eran Hadera had 55% of the ball to Ashdod's 45%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.65 to 1.20.

What was the final score of Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Ashdod?

Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-1 Ashdod in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Ashdod?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Eran Hadera 32%, draw 39%, Ashdod 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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