Hapoel Jerusalem 0-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.7
2-3 Goals
48%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.0
6+ Goals
6%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-0.7pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.3pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-7.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 59%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.53/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.55
+64% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
194 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
26.0 Crosses 18.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.63 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
341 Passes 302
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
30.09.2023 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3-0 HT 2-0 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem
0-1
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.54 xG 1.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
257 Passes 357
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Beer Sheva nicked a narrow win over Hapoel Jerusalem 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hapoel Beer Sheva as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Hapoel Jerusalem had 44% of the ball to Hapoel Beer Sheva's 56%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.54 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Hapoel Jerusalem 0-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Jerusalem 20%, draw 32%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSR More Israel - Ligat HaAl
20 Jan 2024
16:00 Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Ashdod Analysis →
18:30 Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Haifa Analysis →