Roma 2-1 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.24
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.82
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
18.3
X/1
13%
3.45
X/2
9%
13.0
X/X
11%
5.45
2/1
9%
24.7
2/2
9%
11.15
2/X
8%
19.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.97/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.47
+17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
19.7 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hellas Verona
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.42 xG 0.61
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
367 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1 HT 2-0 Roma Roma İTA
19.02.2023 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
31.10.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-3 HT 1-1 Roma Roma İTA
19.02.2022 Roma Roma 2-2 HT 0-2 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
19.09.2021 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-2 HT 0-1 Roma Roma İTA
31.01.2021 Roma Roma 3-1 HT 3-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
2-1
AWAY Hellas Verona
0.92 xG 1.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
507 Passes 291
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 13
7 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roma vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma nicked a narrow win over Hellas Verona 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roma had 62% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 38%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.92 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Roma and 1.50 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Roma vs Hellas Verona?

Roma 2-1 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Roma 53%, draw 24%, Hellas Verona 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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