Udinese vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Udinese v Milan — Team-Based Signals
Udinese vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Udinese
İTA
3-1
HT 2-1
Milan
İTA
4-2
HT 2-2
Udinese
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Udinese
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Milan
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Udinese
İTA
Udinese 2-3 Milan — Actual Match Statistics
Milan nicked a narrow win over Udinese 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Milan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Udinese had 30% of the ball to Milan's 70%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.55 to 2.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Milan's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Udinese had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Udinese and 1.33 for Milan.
What was the final score of Udinese vs Milan?
Udinese 2-3 Milan in the Italy - Serie A on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Udinese vs Milan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Udinese 30%, draw 26%, Milan 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan) — a clean sweep of the main markets.