Moritanya vs Angola Prediction — Model Probabilities
Moritanya v Angola — Team-Based Signals
Moritanya vs Angola Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Moritanya 2-3 Angola — Actual Match Statistics
Angola came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Moritanya 3-2 away from home. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
Our pre-match split (29% / 36% / 35%) promised a tight game; Angola found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (58%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Moritanya had 54% of the ball to Angola's 46%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.07 to 1.66.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Moritanya and 1.00 for Angola.
Moritanya vs Angola Result & Final Score
Moritanya 2 - 3 Angola in the Africa Cup of Nations on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Moritanya vs Angola Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Moritanya 29%, draw 36%, Angola 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.