Tunus 1-1 Mali — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Africa Cup of Nations, 20 Jan 2024

Tunus DWL→
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Mali WW→
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Africa Cup of Nations – 2023

Tunus vs Mali Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.87
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
70%
1.41
Over
30%
2.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
41%
1.94
2-3
47%
1.88
4-5
11%
7.09
6+
1%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.7
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
13%
5.52
X/2
13%
4.84
X/X
26%
3.16
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.92
2/X
5%
15.05
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Tunus v Mali — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tunus The Market 35%
Signal
AWAY Mali The Market 39%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.12 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
0.96 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.94
Bad Attack Strength Great
Strong Defense Strength Great
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

Tunus vs Mali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tunus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mali
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.66 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
257 Passes 297
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2022 Tunus Tunus 0-0 HT 0-0 Mali Mali DKE
25.03.2022 Mali Mali 0-1 HT 0-1 Tunus Tunus DKE
12.01.2022 Tunus Tunus 0-1 HT 0-0 Mali Mali AFUK
15.06.2021 Tunus Tunus 1-0 HT 0-0 Mali Mali HAZ
28.06.2019 Tunus Tunus 1-1 HT 0-0 Mali Mali AFUK
10.08.2011 Tunus Tunus 4-2 HT 2-1 Mali Mali HAZ

Tunus 1-1 Mali — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tunus
1 - 1
AWAY Mali
0.52 xG 1.10
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
216 Passes 407
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Tunus vs Mali
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tunus and Mali couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 36% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Mali saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.52 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tunus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Tunus against 0.67 for Mali.

Tunus vs Mali Result & Final Score

Tunus 1 - 1 Mali in the Africa Cup of Nations on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tunus vs Mali Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tunus 32%, draw 36%, Mali 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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