Ürdün 2-2 Güney Kore — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 20 Jan 2024

Ürdün
2-2 HT 2-1
Güney Kore
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Asian Cup – 2023

Ürdün vs Güney Kore Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
33%
4.34
Away
49%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.07
Over 2.5
41%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 33% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.55
1/2
7%
22.6
1/X
6%
19.7
X/1
5%
14.3
X/2
12%
3.49
X/X EV+ ✗
19%
6.31
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
30%
1.71
2/X
8%
18.9
Value flag · X/X at 6.31 — our 19% vs market 11.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+3.4pp
33%
Draw
20%
+13.3pp
49%
Away Win
66%
-16.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
44%
+14.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
56%
-14.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ürdün v Güney Kore — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ürdün EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore EU Bookmakers 70%
+72% / +72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.47
+150% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -24%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
228 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ürdün vs Güney Kore Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ürdün
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Güney Kore
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
– Corners 9
The Meetings
14.11.2014 Ürdün Ürdün 0-1 HT 0-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore HAZ

Ürdün 2-2 Güney Kore — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ürdün
2-2
AWAY Güney Kore
0.27 xG 2.15
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
221 Passes 524
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ürdün vs Güney Kore
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ürdün and Güney Kore couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Güney Kore at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ürdün had 34% of the ball to Güney Kore's 66%, shots finished 12-23, expected goals 0.27 to 2.15.

What was the final score of Ürdün vs Güney Kore?

Ürdün 2-2 Güney Kore in the Asian Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ürdün vs Güney Kore?

Before kick-off our model rated an Güney Kore win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ürdün 17%, draw 33%, Güney Kore 49%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Güney Kore) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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