Bahreyn 1-0 Malezya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.29
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
4%
14.3
X/1
21%
4.08
X/2
5%
8.61
X/X
14%
5.19
2/1
6%
22.6
2/2
13%
6.46
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahreyn EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Malezya EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
442 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahreyn
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Malezya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.06.2022 Malezya Malezya 1-2 HT 0-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn ASKE
28.05.2021 Bahreyn Bahreyn 2-0 Malezya Malezya HAZ
15.11.2013 Bahreyn Bahreyn 1-0 HT 0-0 Malezya Malezya ASKE
15.10.2013 Malezya Malezya 1-1 HT 0-1 Bahreyn Bahreyn ASKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahreyn
1-0
AWAY Malezya
0.71 xG 0.24
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
442 Passes 182
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bahreyn vs Malezya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahreyn nicked a narrow win over Malezya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bahreyn as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bahreyn had 66% of the ball to Malezya's 34%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 0.71 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bahreyn had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bahreyn and 0.50 for Malezya.

What was the final score of Bahreyn vs Malezya?

Bahreyn 1-0 Malezya in the Asian Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahreyn vs Malezya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahreyn win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bahreyn 51%, draw 26%, Malezya 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahreyn), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bahreyn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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