Standard Liege 0-1 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 28% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.1
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
20%
3.85
X/2
9%
9.93
X/X
11%
5.24
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
5%
7.77
2/X
9%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.54/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.47
-20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.7 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kortrijk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
340 Passes 258
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-1 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
12.02.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-2 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
28.08.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
20.03.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
30.10.2021 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
09.02.2021 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
0-1
AWAY Kortrijk
2.18 xG 0.39
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
534 Passes 227
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
43 Box Touches 9
41 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk nicked a narrow win over Standard Liege 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Standard Liege at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Standard Liege had 65% of the ball to Kortrijk's 35%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.18 to 0.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Standard Liege.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Standard Liege had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Standard Liege and 0.83 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Kortrijk?

Standard Liege 0-1 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Standard Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 56%, draw 25%, Kortrijk 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Standard Liege) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Standard Liege) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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