Falubaz Zielona Góra 0-4 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
59%
-14.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falubaz Zielona Góra EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +73% / +73%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Falubaz Zielona Góra vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Warszawa ran out comfortable winners over Falubaz Zielona Góra 4-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Falubaz Zielona Góra at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Falubaz Zielona Góra vs Polonia Warszawa?

Falubaz Zielona Góra 0-4 Polonia Warszawa in the Friendlies on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falubaz Zielona Góra vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falubaz Zielona Góra win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Falubaz Zielona Góra 45%, draw 26%, Polonia Warszawa 29%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Falubaz Zielona Góra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Falubaz Zielona Góra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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