Viktoria Plzen 1-0 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.22
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
78%
-20.8pp
22%
Draw
13%
+9.3pp
21%
Away Win
9%
+11.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 12%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
3.95/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/2.48
+51% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +148% / -9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
453 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Dukla Prag
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
27.04.2019 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 4-0 HT 3-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
20.07.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-3 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
26.05.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-5 HT 1-3 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
29.07.2017 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 4-0 HT 4-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
29.04.2017 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
30.10.2016 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
1-0
AWAY Dukla Prag
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen nicked a narrow win over Dukla Prag 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 54% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 46%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 0.33 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Dukla Prag?

Viktoria Plzen 1-0 Dukla Prag in the Friendlies on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 57%, draw 22%, Dukla Prag 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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