Knockbreda 1-3 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.63
2-3 Goals
35%
1.99
4-5 Goals
33%
2.51
6+ Goals
10%
5.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
12%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.2pp
59%
Away Win
70%
-10.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Knockbreda EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 75%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-47% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 510 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Knockbreda
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Newington Youth
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-0 HT 0-0 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
12.04.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-1 HT 0-1 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
04.03.2023 Knockbreda Knockbreda 0-3 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
03.01.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 3-0 HT 0-0 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
27.08.2022 Knockbreda Knockbreda 1-0 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Knockbreda
1-3
AWAY Newington Youth
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Knockbreda vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth saw off Knockbreda 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newington Youth as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Knockbreda had 38% of the ball to Newington Youth's 62%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Newington Youth led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Knockbreda and 1.80 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Knockbreda vs Newington Youth?

Knockbreda 1-3 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Knockbreda vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Knockbreda 17%, draw 24%, Newington Youth 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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