Portadown FC 3-2 Dergview FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.18
2-3 Goals
40%
2.05
4-5 Goals
25%
2.44
6+ Goals
14%
5.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.0pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Dergview FC EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +7%
2.95/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.02
+33% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
381 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Dergview FC
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
11.11.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 4-1 HT 3-0 Dergview FC Dergview FC KİRL1
05.08.2023 Dergview FC Dergview FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Dergview FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC squeezed past Dergview FC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Portadown FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Portadown FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Portadown FC and 1.50 for Dergview FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Dergview FC?

Portadown FC 3-2 Dergview FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Dergview FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 54%, draw 22%, Dergview FC 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portadown FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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