Atletico San Luis 3-1 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.81
6+ Goals
11%
16.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.99
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
11%
5.64
X/2
12%
5.23
X/X
7%
4.31
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
22%
3.58
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.2pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.31/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.44
-17% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.0 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
248 Passes 303
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-2 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
09.04.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-1 HT 2-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
19.08.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-2 HT 1-2 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
21.04.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
08.08.2021 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-3 HT 1-2 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
21.03.2021 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-1 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
3-1
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.93 xG 2.65
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
383 Passes 418
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 33
6 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis got the better of Pumas UNAM 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Atletico San Luis made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 47% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 53%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.93 to 2.65 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pumas UNAM.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.67 for Pumas UNAM.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Pumas UNAM?

Atletico San Luis 3-1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 37%, draw 23%, Pumas UNAM 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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