Puebla 1-2 Necaxa — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.97
Over
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.08
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.52
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.3
6+
6%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.22
1/2
2%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
15%
5.14
X/2
12%
6.16
X/X
16%
4.69
2/1
3%
26.0
2/2
18%
4.17
2/X
5%
12.75
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Puebla The Market 44%
Signal
AWAY Necaxa The Market 36%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.67 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.30
1.32 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Necaxa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.60 xG 1.14
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.10.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 1-2 HT 0-2 Puebla Puebla MEK
15.04.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 1-1 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
17.08.2022 Puebla Puebla 2-2 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
23.04.2022 Puebla Puebla 0-1 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
16.10.2021 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
27.02.2021 Puebla Puebla 1-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puebla
1 - 2
AWAY Necaxa
1.81 xG 1.18
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
393 Passes 235
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Puebla vs Necaxa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Necaxa nicked a narrow win over Puebla 2-1 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

From a near-even 40% / 27% / 32% read, it was Necaxa who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 60% to 40% in Puebla's favour, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.81 to 1.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Puebla.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puebla had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Puebla against 0.83 for Necaxa.

Puebla vs Necaxa Result & Final Score

Puebla 1 - 2 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Puebla vs Necaxa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Puebla win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Puebla 40%, draw 27%, Necaxa 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puebla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puebla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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