CF Os Belenenses 1-3 AVS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 20 Jan 2024

CF Os Belenenses
1-3 HT 1-1
AVS
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

CF Os Belenenses vs AVS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.35
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.0pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.2pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CF Os Belenenses v AVS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY AVS EU Bookmakers 51%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
234 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.5 Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards –

CF Os Belenenses vs AVS Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AVS
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.70 xG 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
253 Passes 252
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.08.2023 AVS AVS 1-0 HT 1-0 CF Os Belenenses POR2
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs AVS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AVS beat CF Os Belenenses 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 33% / 39% — and on the day AVS made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs AVS?

CF Os Belenenses 1-3 AVS in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs AVS?

Before kick-off our model rated an AVS win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 28%, draw 33%, AVS 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AVS) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AVS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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