Mafra vs Benfica II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mafra v Benfica II — Team-Based Signals
Mafra vs Benfica II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Mafra
POR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Benfica II
POR2
5-1
HT 4-1
Mafra
POR2
2-1
HT 2-0
Benfica II
POR2
1-3
HT 1-1
Mafra
POR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Mafra
POR2
Mafra 1-2 Benfica II — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica II edged past Mafra 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Benfica II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mafra had 62% of the ball to Benfica II's 38%, shots finished 14-24, expected goals 2.54 to 2.22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mafra and 2.17 for Benfica II.
What was the final score of Mafra vs Benfica II?
Mafra 1-2 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mafra vs Benfica II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mafra 38%, draw 27%, Benfica II 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.