Bergama Belediyespor 2-3 Çatalcaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+10.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergama Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Çatalcaspor EU Bookmakers 28%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.97/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.36
-36% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergama Belediyespor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Çatalcaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2022 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Çatalcaspor Çatalcaspor S3-1
27.11.2021 Çatalcaspor Çatalcaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor S3-1
24.02.2019 Çatalcaspor Çatalcaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor S3-2
06.10.2018 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor 1-2 HT 0-1 Çatalcaspor Çatalcaspor S3-2
14.04.2018 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor 2-2 HT 0-0 Çatalcaspor Çatalcaspor S3-1
25.11.2017 Çatalcaspor Çatalcaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor S3-1
POST-MATCH Bergama Belediyespor vs Çatalcaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çatalcaspor nicked a narrow win over Bergama Belediyespor 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bergama Belediyespor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bergama Belediyespor and 1.00 for Çatalcaspor.

What was the final score of Bergama Belediyespor vs Çatalcaspor?

Bergama Belediyespor 2-3 Çatalcaspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergama Belediyespor vs Çatalcaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergama Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bergama Belediyespor 41%, draw 24%, Çatalcaspor 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bergama Belediyespor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bergama Belediyespor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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