Sebat Gençlik SK 1-0 Muş Spor Kulübü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebat Gençlik SK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Muş Spor Kulübü EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +50%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sebat Gençlik SK
1-0
AWAY Muş Spor Kulübü
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sebat Gençlik SK vs Muş Spor Kulübü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebat Gençlik SK nicked a narrow win over Muş Spor Kulübü 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sebat Gençlik SK as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sebat Gençlik SK had 56% of the ball to Muş Spor Kulübü's 44%, shots finished 13-3.

What was the final score of Sebat Gençlik SK vs Muş Spor Kulübü?

Sebat Gençlik SK 1-0 Muş Spor Kulübü in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebat Gençlik SK vs Muş Spor Kulübü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sebat Gençlik SK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sebat Gençlik SK 41%, draw 26%, Muş Spor Kulübü 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sebat Gençlik SK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sebat Gençlik SK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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