Mirandes vs Malaga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mirandes v Malaga — Team-Based Signals
Mirandes vs Malaga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mirandes 3-2 Malaga — Actual Match Statistics
Mirandes edged past Malaga 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mirandes as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mirandes had 47% of the ball to Malaga's 53%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.48 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mirandes's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mirandes and 1.00 for Malaga.
What was the final score of Mirandes vs Malaga?
Mirandes 3-2 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Malaga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 45%, draw 31%, Malaga 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirandes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.