Malaga 1-1 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.57
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.3
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.05
X/1
14%
3.6
X/2
8%
9.78
X/X
8%
3.88
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
10%
9.09
2/X
9%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.2pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.39/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.39
+4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
24.0 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mirandes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 Passes 359
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2023 Malaga Malaga 2-0 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
27.08.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 1-3 HT 0-1 Malaga Malaga İS2
30.01.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 3-0 HT 2-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
16.08.2021 Malaga Malaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
01.03.2021 Mirandes Mirandes 1-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
25.10.2020 Malaga Malaga 1-1 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
1-1
AWAY Mirandes
0.32 xG 0.32
68% Ball Possession 32%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
432 Passes 168
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga and Mirandes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Malaga at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Malaga had 68% of the ball to Mirandes's 32%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.32 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malaga and 1.00 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Mirandes?

Malaga 1-1 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Malaga 50%, draw 26%, Mirandes 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Malaga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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