Racing Ferrol 0-1 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.06
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
13%
5.75
X/2
12%
5.04
X/X
14%
3.66
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.7
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.0pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.24/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.99
+51% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.5 Crosses 21.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
0-1
AWAY Granada
0.99 xG 1.24
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
239 Passes 310
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 33
25 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada edged past Racing Ferrol 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Granada made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 46% of the ball to Granada's 54%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 0.99 to 1.24.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Granada?

Racing Ferrol 0-1 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated an Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 35%, draw 28%, Granada 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Granada) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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