Tenerife 0-1 Almeria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.55
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.64
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 39% vs market 33.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.59
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
15%
5.03
X/2
13%
5.84
X/X
17%
3.84
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
15%
4.42
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.2pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.22/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.34
-18% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.8 Crosses 14.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Almeria
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.05 xG 1.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 Passes 394
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 0-1 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
24.09.2021 Almeria Almeria 3-1 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
07.05.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 0-1 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
26.11.2020 Almeria Almeria 2-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
04.07.2020 Almeria Almeria 1-2 HT 1-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
30.11.2019 Tenerife Tenerife 1-3 HT 1-2 Almeria Almeria İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
0-1
AWAY Almeria
1.00 xG 1.61
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
226 Passes 363
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Almeria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria squeezed past Tenerife 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Almeria made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Tenerife had 41% of the ball to Almeria's 59%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.00 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tenerife and 1.83 for Almeria.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Almeria?

Tenerife 0-1 Almeria in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Almeria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 36%, draw 30%, Almeria 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tenerife) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tenerife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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