Semen Padang vs Bali United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Semen Padang v Bali United — Team-Based Signals
Semen Padang vs Bali United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Bali United cruised past Semen Padang 5-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Bali United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bali United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Semen Padang and 2.00 for Bali United.
What was the final score of Semen Padang vs Bali United?
Semen Padang 1-5 Bali United in the Indonesia League 1 on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Semen Padang vs Bali United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Semen Padang 32%, draw 29%, Bali United 38%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bali United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.