Hadiya Hosaena 1-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 20 Jan 2025

📅20/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
40%
2.66
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
Over 2.5
23%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.67
No
62%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
8%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.5pp
40%
Draw
34%
+5.7pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
33%
+4.4pp
62%
BTTS No
67%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.97/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.46
-13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
2 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.03.2024 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 0-0 HT 0-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1-0
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hadiya Hosaena squeezed past Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 40% / 29%) promised a tight game; Hadiya Hosaena found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (77%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 34% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 66%, shots finished 5-2.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Hadiya Hosaena 1-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 31%, draw 40%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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