Troyes 0-1 Annecy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 20 Jan 2025

📅20/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.14
6+ Goals
11%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.08
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
12%
4.81
X/2
8%
6.78
X/X
12%
4.08
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
16%
5.24
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Annecy EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.24/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.37
-6% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.3 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Annecy
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.28 xG 1.01
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
345 Passes 213
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Annecy Annecy 1-0 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
17.05.2024 Troyes Troyes 1-1 HT 1-1 Annecy Annecy FR2
16.09.2023 Annecy Annecy 0-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
0-1
AWAY Annecy
1.63 xG 0.52
56% Ball Possession 44%
25 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
372 Passes 294
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
42 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annecy nicked a narrow win over Troyes 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Troyes at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Troyes had 56% of the ball to Annecy's 44%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 1.63 to 0.52 — on chances, Troyes could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Annecy led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Troyes and 0.67 for Annecy.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Annecy?

Troyes 0-1 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Annecy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Troyes 42%, draw 26%, Annecy 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Troyes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Troyes) ✓ BTTS No
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