Troyes 1-1 Annecy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 17 May 2024

Troyes
1-1 HT 1-1
Annecy
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Troyes vs Annecy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.57
2-3 Goals
47%
1.9
4-5 Goals
18%
2.88
6+ Goals
15%
8.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.43
1/2
5%
24.85
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
15%
5.63
X/2
9%
5.71
X/X
8%
5.59
2/1
5%
24.85
2/2 EV+ ✗
29%
3.5
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/2 at 3.5 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.0pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.3pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+6.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.3pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Troyes v Annecy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Annecy EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.36/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.27
+23% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
17.6 Crosses 14.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Troyes vs Annecy Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Annecy
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.56 xG 1.29
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 10
430 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Annecy Annecy 0-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2

Troyes 1-1 Annecy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
1-1
AWAY Annecy
1.65 xG 1.09
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
314 Passes 192
73% Pass Accuracy 65%
32 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes and Annecy couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Annecy at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Troyes had 60% of the ball to Annecy's 40%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.65 to 1.09.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Annecy?

Troyes 1-1 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Annecy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Annecy win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Troyes 37%, draw 20%, Annecy 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Annecy), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Annecy) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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