Puskas FC 3-2 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jan 2025

📅20/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
2.43
Over
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.97
2-3
37%
1.93
4-5
26%
2.58
6+
11%
6.26
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.97 — our 26% vs market 14.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.2pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby The Market 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hammarby
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
27.08.2020 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 2-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
3-2
AWAY Hammarby
30% Ball Possession 70%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC edged past Hammarby 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Puskas FC had 30% of the ball to Hammarby's 70%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Hammarby?

Puskas FC 3-2 Hammarby in the Friendlies on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 44%, draw 27%, Hammarby 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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