Swansea City U21 3-4 Millwall U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 20 Jan 2025

📅20/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
Over 2.5
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
23%
4-5 Goals
43%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-7.5pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.52/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/2.36
+42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Millwall U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.03.2024 Millwall U21 Millwall U21 4-1 HT 0-1 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 INGPDL
08.01.2024 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 3-0 HT 2-0 Millwall U21 Millwall U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Swansea City U21 vs Millwall U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall U21 edged past Swansea City U21 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Millwall U21 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Swansea City U21 and 2.00 for Millwall U21.

What was the final score of Swansea City U21 vs Millwall U21?

Swansea City U21 3-4 Millwall U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City U21 vs Millwall U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millwall U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Swansea City U21 35%, draw 24%, Millwall U21 41%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millwall U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millwall U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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