Al Ettifaq 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 20 Jan 2025

Al Ettifaq
1-2 HT 0-1
Al Ahli Jeddah
📅20/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Ettifaq vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
53%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 29% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
53%
Away Win
57%
-4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.9pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ettifaq v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 61%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
0.83/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.85
-50% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +2%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
262 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 84%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.3
15.5 Crosses 21.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Al Ettifaq vs Al Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 1.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
330 Passes 341
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
30.09.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
04.03.2022 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
16.10.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
30.05.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
24.01.2021 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD

Al Ettifaq 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
1-2
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.37 xG 1.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
319 Passes 329
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah nicked a narrow win over Al Ettifaq 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 50% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 50%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.37 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ettifaq and 1.50 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Ettifaq 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 22%, draw 25%, Al Ahli Jeddah 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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