Al Ettifaq 2-2 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.75
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 30% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.31/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.30
-23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.1 Crosses 20.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 1.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
339 Passes 342
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
04.03.2022 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
16.10.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
30.05.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
24.01.2021 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
06.02.2020 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-2 HT 0-1 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
2-2
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 11
250 Passes 328
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq and Al Ahli Jeddah shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 46% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 54%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ettifaq and 1.67 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Ettifaq 2-2 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 32%, draw 28%, Al Ahli Jeddah 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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