Al Akhdoud 1-3 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 34%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.55/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.26
-100% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
21.0 Crosses 20.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Raed
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.82 xG 1.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
244 Passes 383
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-3
AWAY Al Raed
1.46 xG 1.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
329 Passes 225
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Raed beat Al Akhdoud 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Al Raed made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 57% of the ball to Al Raed's 43%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.46 to 1.24.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Raed?

Al Akhdoud 1-3 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 39%, draw 29%, Al Raed 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✗ Under 2.5
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