Damac FC 0-1 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 31% vs market 29.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.42/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.32
-4% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
18.7 Crosses 17.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 0.86
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
439 Passes 326
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-1 HT 1-1 Damac FC Damac FC SAKK
30.09.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-2 HT 0-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
18.02.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-0 HT 2-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
02.09.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
0-1
AWAY Al Khaleej
0.82 xG 0.17
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
433 Passes 206
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 6
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej edged past Damac FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Damac FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Damac FC had 66% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 34%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.82 to 0.17 — the balance of chances actually favoured Damac FC.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Damac FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Damac FC and 1.00 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Khaleej?

Damac FC 0-1 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 41%, draw 31%, Al Khaleej 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Damac FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Damac FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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