Trabzonspor 4-0 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 20 Jan 2025

📅20/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.57
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.33
Over
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.73
2-3
37%
1.92
4-5
24%
2.71
6+
13%
7.08
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.73 — our 26% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.85
X/1
29%
4.23
X/2
7%
10.95
X/X
10%
6.57
2/1
7%
19.5
2/2
7%
8.13
2/X
6%
16.45
Value flag · X/1 at 4.23 — our 29% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Trabzonspor win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor The Market 22%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.96/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.50
+10% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
21.2 Crosses 16.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.18 xG 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
442 Passes 287
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
12.04.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
27.11.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 3-3 HT 2-2 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
20.04.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 4-1 HT 2-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
22.10.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
30.07.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
4-0
AWAY Sivasspor
3.03 xG 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
486 Passes 425
91% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor cruised past Sivasspor 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 53% of the ball to Sivasspor's 47%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 3.03 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.33 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Sivasspor?

Trabzonspor 4-0 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 55%, draw 25%, Sivasspor 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✗ Under 2.5
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