Alloa Athletic 4-1 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2026

📅20/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +3%
1.47/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.32
-16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses 0.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Montrose
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
08.11.2025 Montrose Montrose 0-4 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
13.09.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
15.07.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İKLK
26.04.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Montrose Montrose İK1
08.02.2025 Montrose Montrose 2-2 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
14.12.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
FAQ Alloa Athletic vs Montrose
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Alloa Athletic ran out comfortable winners over Montrose 4-1 in the Scotland - 1st Division on 20 Jan 2026. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alloa Athletic and 1.17 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?

Alloa Athletic 4-1 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 20/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 46%, draw 27%, Montrose 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
20 Jan 2026
22:45 East Fife vs Inverness CT Analysis →