.png)
.png)
Real Madrid (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Madrid (K) v Atletico Madrid (K) — Team-Based Signals
Real Madrid (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
_small.png)
_small.png)
Real Madrid (K) 3-1 Atletico Madrid (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid (K) got the better of Atletico Madrid (K) 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 39% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 61%, shots finished 17-21.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Madrid (K) and 1.75 for Atletico Madrid (K).
What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?
Real Madrid (K) 3-1 Atletico Madrid (K) in the Spain - Women's Super Cup on 20/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 38%, draw 25%, Atletico Madrid (K) 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.