Kawasaki Frontale 2-4 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
13%
8.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.2
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
16%
4.23
X/2
7%
9.09
X/X
9%
5.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.85
2/2
14%
6.31
2/X
7%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.85 — our 12% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.97/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.38
-13% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
473 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.2
15.2 Crosses 28.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.85 xG 1.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 11
173 Passes 254
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 46
5 Crosses 41
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-3 HT 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2-4
AWAY Shandong Taishan
2.31 xG 1.79
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 9
472 Passes 202
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
36 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan beat Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 66% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 34%, shots finished 18-21, expected goals 2.31 to 1.79 — on chances, Kawasaki Frontale could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Shandong Taishan?

Kawasaki Frontale 2-4 Shandong Taishan in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 53%, draw 22%, Shandong Taishan 25%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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