Belgrano Cordoba 4-1 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.89
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.38
Over 2.5
38%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.51
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.95
2-3 Goals
35%
1.86
4-5 Goals
15%
6.95
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
3.04
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.05
X/1
17%
4.06
X/2
7%
6.87
X/X
15%
3.41
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
8%
6.29
2/X
5%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
49%
+7.2pp
24%
Draw
31%
-6.3pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
69%
-6.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
31%
+6.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.1pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 23%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
0.66/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.32
-45% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
20.8 Crosses 17.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
2W-2D-1L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.73 xG 0.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
255 Passes 208
69% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
04.04.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
20.11.2016 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-2 HT 0-2 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
06.03.2016 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 3-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
04.04.2015 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-3 HT 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
4-1
AWAY CA Sarmiento
2.21 xG 0.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
248 Passes 289
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Belgrano Cordoba vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belgrano Cordoba ran out comfortable winners over CA Sarmiento 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Belgrano Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Belgrano Cordoba had 48% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 52%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.21 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Belgrano Cordoba had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Belgrano Cordoba and 0.60 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Belgrano Cordoba vs CA Sarmiento?

Belgrano Cordoba 4-1 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belgrano Cordoba vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belgrano Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Belgrano Cordoba 56%, draw 24%, CA Sarmiento 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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