Estudiantes 2-0 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 20 Feb 2024

Estudiantes
2-0 HT 0-0
Newells Old Boys
📅20/02/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes vs Newells Old Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.69
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.2 — our 42% vs market 38.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.14
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.4
X/1
15%
4.22
X/2
9%
6.59
X/X
10%
3.49
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
5.83
2/X
11%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.0pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes v Newells Old Boys — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +13%
1.33/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.27
-8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
278 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 70%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
21.2 Crosses 15.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Estudiantes vs Newells Old Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 0.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
321 Passes 320
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
01.04.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 3-0 HT 2-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
26.06.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-2 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
30.07.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 4-2 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
12.12.2020 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
09.02.2020 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ

Estudiantes 2-0 Newells Old Boys — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
2-0
AWAY Newells Old Boys
2.66 xG 0.81
67% Ball Possession 33%
29 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
404 Passes 162
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes beat Newells Old Boys 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estudiantes as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Estudiantes had 67% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 33%, shots finished 29-11, expected goals 2.66 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newells Old Boys led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estudiantes and 1.17 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Newells Old Boys?

Estudiantes 2-0 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 41%, draw 28%, Newells Old Boys 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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