Esteghlal Mollasani 2-1 SC Damash Gilanian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
37%
2.88
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.92
2-3 Goals
45%
1.87
4-5 Goals
16%
7.13
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
37%
Draw
31%
+5.4pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.0pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Mollasani EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Damash Gilanian EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.31/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.49
-5% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / -54%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
429 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Mollasani
0W-1D-0L
AWAY SC Damash Gilanian
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17.09.2023 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Mollasani Esteghlal Mollasani IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Mollasani vs SC Damash Gilanian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Mollasani nicked a narrow win over SC Damash Gilanian 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Esteghlal Mollasani as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Mollasani vs SC Damash Gilanian?

Esteghlal Mollasani 2-1 SC Damash Gilanian in the Iran - Azadegan League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Mollasani vs SC Damash Gilanian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Mollasani win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Mollasani 43%, draw 37%, SC Damash Gilanian 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Mollasani) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Mollasani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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