Fajr Sepasi 1-1 Saipa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 20 Feb 2024

Fajr Sepasi
1-1 HT 0-0
Saipa
📅20/02/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2023/2024

Fajr Sepasi vs Saipa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
36%
2.66
Away
16%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.28
Over 2.5
25%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.67
No
68%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
14%
8.92
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.2pp
36%
Draw
34%
+1.6pp
16%
Away Win
22%
-5.9pp
75%
Under 2.5
75%
+0.2pp
25%
Over 2.5
25%
-0.2pp
32%
BTTS Yes
33%
-0.9pp
68%
BTTS No
67%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fajr Sepasi v Saipa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Saipa EU Bookmakers 25%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.12/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.06
-13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Fajr Sepasi vs Saipa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fajr Sepasi
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Saipa
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Saipa Saipa 2-1 HT 1-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
13.02.2023 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 1-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
20.09.2022 Saipa Saipa 0-1 HT 0-1 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
06.04.2014 Saipa Saipa 0-0 HT 0-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRAN
POST-MATCH Fajr Sepasi vs Saipa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi and Saipa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fajr Sepasi at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (75%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fajr Sepasi had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Fajr Sepasi and 0.50 for Saipa.

What was the final score of Fajr Sepasi vs Saipa?

Fajr Sepasi 1-1 Saipa in the Iran - Azadegan League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fajr Sepasi vs Saipa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fajr Sepasi 48%, draw 36%, Saipa 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fajr Sepasi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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