Boyaca Chico vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boyaca Chico v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Boyaca Chico vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Boyaca Chico
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-2
HT 2-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Boyaca Chico
KOL
3-0
HT 2-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Boyaca Chico 1-0 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Boyaca Chico nicked a narrow win over Alianza Petrolera 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boyaca Chico as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Boyaca Chico had 64% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 36%, shots finished 8-3, expected goals 0.35 to 0.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boyaca Chico had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Boyaca Chico and 0.67 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Alianza Petrolera?
Boyaca Chico 1-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boyaca Chico win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 47%, draw 29%, Alianza Petrolera 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boyaca Chico), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.