Al Masry 3-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 20 Feb 2024

Al Masry
3-0 HT 2-0
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
📅20/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2023/2024

Al Masry vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.31
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+9.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Masry v Baladiyyat Al Mehalla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 22%
-15% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.65/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.17
-20% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.3 Crosses 18.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Al Masry 3-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
3-0
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0.91 xG 0.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
448 Passes 315
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry swept aside Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Masry as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Al Masry had 57% of the ball to Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's 43%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.91 to 0.39.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Al Masry 3-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 45%, draw 26%, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Masry), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Masry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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