Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 26% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.48/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.24
+7% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
18.6 Crosses 16.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
2W-1D-1L
AWAY El Gounah
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.50 xG 1.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
218 Passes 290
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 3-2 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
26.10.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
25.06.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 3-2 HT 1-2 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
29.01.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
1-1
AWAY El Gounah
2.22 xG 0.88
72% Ball Possession 28%
23 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
490 Passes 130
82% Pass Accuracy 56%
40 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ceramica Cleopatra vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceramica Cleopatra and El Gounah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ceramica Cleopatra at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ceramica Cleopatra had 72% of the ball to El Gounah's 28%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 2.22 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ceramica Cleopatra had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 1.75 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Ceramica Cleopatra vs El Gounah?

Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceramica Cleopatra vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ceramica Cleopatra 47%, draw 26%, El Gounah 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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